4.22.2009

Bride of Top 7 Week: DialIdol Predicts

Let's hope that three is not the charm for DialIdol.  For the last two weeks, the 97% accurate elimination-prediction program has shown that the lowest number of votes were for Kris, and demonstrated that he would go home.  As we all know, that was false.  This week, though, both Kris and Allison are in the bottom 3 as predicted by DialIdol, along with Matt Giraud.

Can that possibly be reflective of all the votes sent in?  There are about 31 million votes sent in on any given night, and not all of them are submitted through DialIdol.  Although DialIdol is often reflective of the votes given, this season (with Kris in particular) it seems that it is not as reflective as it has been.  People are texting votes in a different pattern than they are DialIdoling them.

What will it mean for the show, though, if Kris and Allison really are in the bottom 3 (along with Matt?)  Well, certainly Matt will go home, but it would be a travesty to lose one of these two singers.  Moreover, it would bring more backlash on that ridiculous use of the Judges' Save last week.  Matt did not deserve to be saved--and Simon's reaction made it clear that he was approving the save not because he wanted to, but because the producers had told him to.  If Kris or Allison are eliminated tonight, that will turn that farcical save last week into a despicable power play by the producers to "add interest" to a show.  American Idol is rigged and we all know it, but I don't think that, in any case other than ringer contestants like Joanna Pacitti this year and Carly Smithson last year (and don't get me wrong, I loved Carly,) anyone really raised eyebrows at how rigged it is.  If the save proves to have been wasted on an unworthy contestant, I predict a real fan reaction.

Who should be in the bottom 3?  I hold to last night's statement that it should be Lil, Danny, and Anoop, with Anoop and Lil going home.  However, people will probably vote more on the quality of overall performances, not just last night. 

In that case, the bottom 3 will probably contain Lil, Anoop, and Matt, with Anoop and Matt going home.  Lil's fanbase will surely react to Simon's prediction that she would be voted off.  Anoop's fanbase has saved him thus far, although his time is running out.  Matt turned in a great performance last night, but like Paula said, he throws strikes or gutter balls--the man does not do mediocre, it's either killer or a trainwreck.

So what's it going to be, AI?  Will the eliminations be of people who deserve to go home, or America, did you really vote two of the competition's top singers into the bottom 3?  

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